Determinan Harga Saham Perusahaan LQ45 Berdasarkan Bukti Cross-Section pada Kondisi Makroekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2025

Authors

  • Nindya Eka Sobita Universitas Lampung
  • M Iqbal Harori Universitas Lampung
  • Muhammad Mufti Hudani Universitas Lampung
  • Mega Mariska Universitas Lampung
  • Rizka Malia Universitas Lampung

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59024/jis.v4i2.2088

Keywords:

DER, EPS, LQ45, ROE, Stock Price.

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of company fundamental factors, proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), and Return on Equity (ROE), on the stock prices of companies listed in the LQ45 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Indonesia's macroeconomic conditions, represented by the rupiah exchange rate and the BI Rate, are used as the economic context of the study and are not estimated as independent variables, since the study relies on a single-period cross-sectional dataset. This study employs cross-sectional data from 38 LQ45 companies as of December 2025 and was analyzed using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method with EViews 13 software. The estimation results show that EPS has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, while DER and ROE have a negative and significant effect. The model explains 90.47% of the variation in stock prices (R² = 0.9047). These findings are consistent with signaling theory and capital structure theory, and have practical implications for investors in selecting stocks based on fundamental performance amid a relatively stable macroeconomic environment.

References

Aika Putra Hakim, M. D., & Sulfitri, V. (2023). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar, dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi terhadap Ihsg. Ebid:Ekonomi Bisnis Digital, 1(2), 85–92. https://doi.org/10.37365/ebid.v1i2.180

Anisak, N., & Mohamad, A. (2020). Foreign Exchange Exposure of Indonesian Listed Firms. Global Business Review, 21(4), 918–936. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150919843371

Bank Indonesia. (2025). BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate dan kurs tengah Bank Indonesia. Bank Indonesia.

Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2019). Fundamentals of financial management (15th ed.). Cengage Learning.

Chandra Wijaya, C., & Putri, A. P. (2021). Pengaruh Analisis Fundamental dan Analisis Teknikal terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan yang Terdaftar di Indeks LQ45. Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis Manajemen Prima, 2(2), 35–46. https://doi.org/10.34012/jebim.v2i2.1428

Damodaran, A. (2022). Applied corporate finance (5th ed.). Wiley.

Endri, E., Abidin, Z., Simanjuntak, T., & Nurhayati, I. (2020). Indonesian Stock Market Volatility: GARCH Model. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 16(2), 7–17. https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2020.16-2.1

Fuad, F., & Yuliadi, I. (2021). Determinants of the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal of Economics Research and Social Sciences, 5(1), 27–41. https://doi.org/10.18196/jerss.v5i1.11002

Hsing, Y. (2019). Effects of macroeconomic variables on the stock market: The case of Indonesia. Economics and Business Letters, 8(3), 115–122. https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.8.3.2019.115-122

International Monetary Fund. (2025). World economic outlook 2025. International Monetary Fund.

Kasmir. (2021). Analisis laporan keuangan (Edisi revisi). PT RajaGrafindo Persada.

Kewal, S. S. (2016). Pengaruh inflasi, suku bunga, kurs, dan pertumbuhan PDB terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan. Jurnal Economia, 8(1), 53–64. https://doi.org/10.21831/economia.v8i1.801

Melyani, I., & Esra, M. A. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, dan Nilai Tukar terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Periode 2016 – 2018. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Dan Bisnis, 6(1), 50–59. https://doi.org/10.38043/jimb.v6i1.3060

Mohammad Benny Alexandri, Putri Irmala Sari, & Widya Setiabudi Sumadinata. (2022). Crude Oil Prices and Currency Exchange Rates’ Impact on the Indonesian Energy Stock Market during the Covid-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 12(4), 48–53. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.13101

Nurmasari, I. (2020). Analisis pengaruh fundamental perusahaan terhadap harga saham pada perusahaan yang terdaftar di indeks LQ45. Jurnal Sekuritas, 3(2), 89–101. https://doi.org/10.32493/skt.v3i2.4532

Otoritas Jasa Keuangan. (2025). Laporan perkembangan keuangan Indonesia 2024. OJK.

Pangestuti, D. C., & Hamidi, A. (2016). Pengaruh Faktor Fundamental Perusahaan terhadap Harga Saham di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 3(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.35590/jeb.v3i1.720

Pasaribu, R. B. F. (2019). Pengaruh variabel fundamental terhadap harga saham perusahaan go public di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia, 23(2), 101–118.

Rezeki, Y., Wulandari, D. S., & Kusumawati, L. (2022). Pengaruh Faktor Fundamental Mikro Makro terhadap Harga Saham Sektor Perbankan. J-MAS (Jurnal Manajemen Dan Sains), 7(1), 186. https://doi.org/10.33087/jmas.v7i1.361

Rizqi Zainul, Z., Amalia Fachrudin, K., Syahyunan, & Irawati, N. (2025). The moderating role of investor sentiment on profitability and investment premiums: Evidence from the Indonesian stock market. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 22(2), 100–111. https://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.22(2).2025.09

Salisu, A. A., & Vo, X. V. (2021). The behavior of exchange rate and stock returns in high and low interest rate environments. International Review of Economics & Finance, 74, 138–149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2021.02.008

Sari, P. M., & Sudjarni, L. K. (2021). Pengaruh suku bunga, inflasi, nilai tukar, dan kondisi fundamental terhadap harga saham. E-Jurnal Manajemen Universitas Udayana, 10(4), 432–451. https://doi.org/10.24843/EJMUNUD.2021.v10.i04.p02

Soekarno, S., & Disman. (2022). Pendekatan cross-section dalam analisis harga saham: Studi pada perusahaan LQ45. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Keuangan, 10(1), 55–70.

Spence, M. (1973). Job market signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374. https://doi.org/10.2307/1882010

Suciwati, D. P., & Machfoedz, M. (2016). Pengaruh risiko nilai tukar rupiah terhadap return saham. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia, 17(4), 347–360.

Sudana, I. M. (2021). Manajemen keuangan perusahaan: Teori dan praktik (3rd ed.). Erlangga.

Sumarna, A. D., & Agustini, P. N. (2022). Informasi Keuangan dengan Moderasi Ukuran Perusahaan pada Harga Saham Emiten LQ45. Jurnal Akuntansi, 16(2), 238–257. https://doi.org/10.25170/jak.v16i2.3433

Tampubolon, K. M., H. M. Roy Sembel, & Sidharta, J. (2021). The Effect Of Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate and Gross Domestic Product Growth on Composite Stock Price Index (Study at Indonesia Stock Exchange Period of 2010-2019). Fundamental Management Journal, 6(1), 66–90. https://doi.org/10.33541/fjm.v6i1.2826

Tandelilin, E. (2022). Pasar modal: Manajemen portofolio dan investasi (Edisi revisi). PT Kanisius.

Downloads

Published

2026-06-30

How to Cite

Nindya Eka Sobita, M Iqbal Harori, Muhammad Mufti Hudani, Mega Mariska, & Rizka Malia. (2026). Determinan Harga Saham Perusahaan LQ45 Berdasarkan Bukti Cross-Section pada Kondisi Makroekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2025. JURNAL ILMIAH RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT STUDENT, 4(2), 351–362. https://doi.org/10.59024/jis.v4i2.2088